Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Claire Jones's avatar

I’m sure Starmer is, in many ways, ‘a nice man’. But, as a leader, arguably, his principle failing is his inability to engage with people. One of the reasons he over-delegates and outsources responsibility is lack of confidence in his own judgement.

But the other is because there’s a wall of non-engagement between him and the groups he’s meant to be getting or keeping on side - he has ignored and taken for granted the needs of a surprisingly broad set of groups, ranging from the progressive voters of the left, minority ethnic communities and women, to his own backbench MPs and the civil service. This broad scope ability to alienate is quite a feat and all to disastrous effect.

But we also have to brace ourselves for a further oddity of Starmer’s character which is that he’s extremely stubborn and he won’t go quietly. He has a vision of himself as PM with a 'job to do' which he'll ruthlessly fight to finish.

Labour doesn't have a 'men in grey suits' arrangement. So, he'll dig his heels in and stay rigidly focussed on the prospect of 'events', particularly international ones, somehow changing his fortunes.

But his defiant determination to 'fulfil his obscure mission promises’ is turning him into something of a dictator, now lashing out at anyone (Robbins et al) who risks undermining him.

Underneath the reasonable man is an unreasonable one. Doesn't bode well.

The latest Labour left plan will mask these problems as their suggested aim is to keep him in situ anyway to give time for Burnham to get back into parliament (assuming such a moment arises). The result, in the meantime, must surely be a deeply demoralised, divided, dysfunctional party being dragged along, as it were, under water, with Labour’s chances of recovery by 2028 diminishing by the day.

Maybe this holding pattern is the only option available to the party but it’s also yet another Reform gift.

Paul R. Morton's avatar

Zoë gets closer to the structural point here than most commentary on this government has managed. The line that does the real work is the one near the end; "this is not a deviation from Starmerism at all, but its original sin." That is correct. It is also the moment the diagnosis could have been pushed one further floor down.

The "boys' club" frame is worth interrogating. This is, on almost every demographic measure, the most diverse Parliament and cabinet Britain has ever had. More women. More minority representation. More ministers from backgrounds that were historically locked out. The inclusion has been real. And yet the centralisation, the inner circle, the top-down control, the treating of dissent as friction — all of it has reproduced itself inside a more diverse cast. Which tells us the problem was never really about who was in the room. It was about how few rooms there were.

Starmer's inner circle will not be fixed by widening it. Johnson's inner circle was not fixed by replacing it. Truss's was not fixed by shrinking it to forty-nine days. The pattern repeats across governments of every ideology and composition because the architecture rewards it. A party system that requires tight message discipline to survive an election cycle will produce centralised leadership inside whichever party wins. A parliament where whips determine careers will produce backbench silence regardless of who sits on the benches. A constitution that can be rewritten by whoever holds power this afternoon will produce leaders who spend their first year consolidating and their second defending what they consolidated.

The UK has been rotating prime ministers every year or two for a decade, sometimes in weeks. Nothing gets built because nothing can outlast the cycle. HS2 is the monument to this. So is the absence of a social care settlement. So is the failure to build housing, sovereign energy capacity, or sovereign data infrastructure. The system cannot think beyond an election, because an election is the longest guaranteed horizon any actor inside it has.

Removing Starmer will produce the same instability that removing Johnson produced, and removing Truss, and removing May. The next leader will inherit the same architecture and, with the best intentions in the world, will reproduce the same pattern in a slightly different accent.

The uncomfortable conclusion Zoë names but does not fully follow is the right one. Stronger systems. Codified constitution. A second chamber selected by sortition. State-funded elections. The removal of the whip as a career-defining instrument. These are the architectural changes that would make the "boys' club" structurally impossible, because there would no longer be a small enough room in which to form one.

1 more comment...

No posts

Ready for more?