Brexit is still the dividing line . Two camps . It cuts so deep it’s so visceral , labour need to be bold and just go it . Except they have a tortoise for a PM when this time a hare is the right choice .
The point about Labour losing votes to the Greens but seats to Reform is really interesting, and the most important observation from today because it has a consequence that goes beyond the political. A party squeezed simultaneously from both sides can't write a coherent fiscal platform - whoever succeeds Starmer will have to choose which voters to chase, and that choice will move gilt yields more than the leadership contest itself. Today the 30-year rallied on Starmer staying but, another repricing will come when his successor (if there is one) decides on the direction of their economic policies.
The huge campaign by Mail readers and theCorbynites has had its effect.There wasnever any chance that whoever led Labour could undo overnight the disaster left by Johnson, Truss etc.Now we are seeing a impressive deal with thd Gulf Corporations, diminishing NHS waiting lists re entry to Euratom and European educational opportunities plus judicious resistance to Trump. We do not need a new P.m
Though journalists love to unseat .Min isters. We have huge problems thst long predate Starmer. Let him get on with it
Another consideration is that a fair chunk of the Reform voters are people who rarely vote. My local council seat turnout last May was up about 20% but other Parties vote drop numerically was quite small.
Brexit is still the dividing line . Two camps . It cuts so deep it’s so visceral , labour need to be bold and just go it . Except they have a tortoise for a PM when this time a hare is the right choice .
The point about Labour losing votes to the Greens but seats to Reform is really interesting, and the most important observation from today because it has a consequence that goes beyond the political. A party squeezed simultaneously from both sides can't write a coherent fiscal platform - whoever succeeds Starmer will have to choose which voters to chase, and that choice will move gilt yields more than the leadership contest itself. Today the 30-year rallied on Starmer staying but, another repricing will come when his successor (if there is one) decides on the direction of their economic policies.
The huge campaign by Mail readers and theCorbynites has had its effect.There wasnever any chance that whoever led Labour could undo overnight the disaster left by Johnson, Truss etc.Now we are seeing a impressive deal with thd Gulf Corporations, diminishing NHS waiting lists re entry to Euratom and European educational opportunities plus judicious resistance to Trump. We do not need a new P.m
Though journalists love to unseat .Min isters. We have huge problems thst long predate Starmer. Let him get on with it
Another consideration is that a fair chunk of the Reform voters are people who rarely vote. My local council seat turnout last May was up about 20% but other Parties vote drop numerically was quite small.