17 Comments
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Paul Woolley's avatar

My view is that within a year or so the 2r's will be sharing about 20-22 % ish between them. Not one of them will have enough to be a force and they will be fighting bitterly between themseves.

Matthew’s Memories's avatar

Or sooner, depending on the outcome in Clacton?

If Farage loses, to a bin(!), he’s toast and slinks away into the undergrowth leaving a bunch of Tory re-treads in charge.

If he wins, the parliamentary investigations fire up again and he’s in proper trouble as, I’m convinced that one of them will come good. ‘specially if Tice is implicated as well.

Linda R's avatar

I also expect Burnham to collapse like a deck of cards following his autumn budget.

Christine Dolan's avatar

You forgot to mention racism. That's what motivates most of his followers.That's why he talks about immigrants all the time. He knows he's onto a winner.

Win's avatar

Cheap and Nasty

Anti-Capitalist Musings's avatar

If Burnham called a snap election, Reform would not win it. Farage wants to be prime minister, not leader of the opposition. A defeat would finish him soon enough. What followed would be a fight among the mad, the bad and the sad who remained. They would eat one another. It would be a great watch.

Linda R's avatar

Burnham wouldn’t win a majority either. He’s already alienated swathes of people across England and is as popular as the plague in the other 3 nations. It would be a hung parliament

Charlie Boucher's avatar

I think that all news outlets should be permanently required to give all.parties equal airtime all the time, and not just during the lead up to an election. The media's refusal to engage with Farage because they will also have to engage with Binface etc. has been a welcome break.

Linda R's avatar

The only reason Farage is not bleating on the telly is simple, rules apply during an election period so if he is given a voice so must the long list of others standing in Claction. On the assumption he wins in Claction, he’ll be back polluting the airwaves 24×7 and the msm will indulge him.

Ty's avatar

Very well written, and I completely agree with you. I also wrote a blog similar to what you have written. Read it and we can share our thoughts.

https://therealukpolitics.substack.com/p/this-is-reform-uks-downfall?r=8ealxh&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

Jennellhartnann's avatar

Unfortunately, the latest Westminster voting figures from YouGov are as follows:

Reform UK 23% - up +1 from 26-27 July.

Labour 22%

Conservatives 19%

Greens 13%

Lib Dems 12%.

So, despite the mess Farage seems to be in, people still intend to vote Reform. Labour were very briefly on top but that lasted only a few days.

Linda R's avatar

Yes, heard on a political podcast that Labour insiders are horrified there has been so little Burnham Bounce and apparently 70 odd of PLP are are already asking “wtf have we done”.

A Lysander's avatar

Its what they havent done. Tax the rich, shut tax havens, recognize The Israel genocide and take Thames water + back into public ownership but hey - the buses are running on Time! Pathetic

Joan Hoggan's avatar

Let’s hope you’re right.